Multi 21: The Consolidation of the UK Betting Market

Author of the posts By Connor "Colt" Hughes Jun11,2024

## A Consolidation Dash

David Cook delves into the suggested unions of Ladbrokes with Coral, and Paddy Power with Betfair, analyzing the reasons and methods behind these proposals.

“Multi 21” became a term synonymous with dispute after the 2013 Malaysian Grand Prix. Sebastian Vettel, a three-time world champion at that time, driving for Red Bull Racing, disregarded team instructions – coded “Multi 21” – to allow teammate Mark Webber to win the race. Vettel passed Webber, securing the win but igniting fury from both Webber and the Red Bull team. Although Vettel ignored the directive, the incident emphasized the significance of safeguarding against a nearby rival in attaining victory. For Red Bull, the team’s overall triumph outweighed individual accomplishment. Presently, “Multi 21” could be the optimal way to characterize the UK betting market’s future.

The worldwide trend of amalgamation has lately reached the UK – with the proposed combinations of Ladbrokes and Coral, and Paddy Power and Betfair – prompting numerous inquiries and conjectures regarding the betting sector’s future and how collaboration will be vital to success.

In July, Ladbrokes and Coral revealed their merger, becoming a hot topic in the realm of betting mergers and acquisitions.

The suggested amalgamation of Ladbrokes and Gala Coral, awaiting approval from the Competition and Markets Authority, will be financed by a group of banks contributing a considerable £1.35 billion. This union is anticipated to establish a gaming giant with an estimated revenue of £2.1 billion and fundamental earnings approaching £392 million.

It’s been a turbulent period for Ladbrokes, characterized by a leadership transition and this major merger proposition. Jim Mullen is slated to succeed Richard Glynn as CEO of the newly formed Ladbrokes Coral in April. Glynn’s concluding year saw Ladbrokes’ pre-tax earnings plunge by a significant 44% to £37.7 million.

Industry analyst Steve Donoughue was blunt in his assessment: “Compare Ladbrokes before Richard Glynn assumed control to its current state. This individual has been disastrous. Glynn will likely be remembered as the most inept bookmaker executive ever. He has decimated Ladbrokes.”

When the agreement was unveiled, it came to light that Gala Coral was burdened with a substantial debt of £865 million. Although Ladbrokes indicated this debt wouldn’t be transferred to the consolidated entity, their explanation regarding whether this pertained to the net debt was rather ambiguous.

Notwithstanding the obstacles, Ladbrokes’ Director of Public Relations, Donal McCabe, conveyed confidence in the future of the merged company’s online operations. “The unified entity will possess two exceptionally robust brands and will likely secure a position as the sixth or seventh largest player in the digital market,” he remarked.

Should you unite Ladbrokes and Coral, even operating the brands autonomously, our position as the market’s third largest entity would remain, but a degree of scale would emerge.” Attempts to reach Gala Coral for input prior to publication were unsuccessful.

Richard Green, potentially destined for notoriety as the most inept bookmaking CEO in history due to his actions at Ladbrokes – Steve Donoughue

Industry veterans are well aware that this isn’t the first instance of Ladbrokes and Coral entertaining the notion of a merger. A Ladbrokes acquisition attempt on Coral in 1998 was thwarted by then-Trade Secretary Peter Mandelson, who asserted that it “would harm competition and disadvantage bettors”. However, akin to ill-fated lovers in a classic romantic comedy, their parting seems to have been temporary. In the present day, the impetus for their reunion might simply be the organic progression of the market. “The disparity between then and now lies in the fact that retail was paramount. Currently, retail holds diminishing significance. The expanding market is mobile, rendering the notion that it’s solely about physical shops an antiquated perspective. From a regulatory standpoint, I perceive no obstacle.” In the preceding year, Ladbrokes shuttered 89 shops and, in February, declared intentions to close an additional 60.

Merely a month following the Ladbrokes and Coral amalgamation receiving approval, Paddy Power and Betfair disclosed their own intentions to combine. This massive merger would result in Paddy Power stakeholders possessing a controlling interest (52%) while Betfair stakeholders would retain the remaining 48%. The two entities reached an agreement in September and aspired to conclude the deal by early 2016. This announcement followed some remarkable financial outcomes: Paddy Power proclaimed record pre-tax earnings of €1.67 billion for 2014, a surge of 21%, while Betfair boasted a comparable 21% revenue growth to £4.765 billion in the year preceding April 30th.

Intriguingly, the chief executive of the newly established Paddy Power Betfair would be no other than Betfair’s own Breon Corcoran. This marked a return of sorts for Corcoran, who had previously occupied various roles at Paddy Power between 2001 and 2011, including a period as chief operating officer. He subsequently transitioned to Betfair as CEO in 2012. According to industry experts, Betfair had been investigating merger opportunities since CVC Capital Partners’ unsuccessful acquisition attempt in 2013, and there was considerable excitement surrounding a union with a company possessing a robust physical presence, unlike Betfair’s exclusively digital model.

With both of these significant mergers imminent, the gambling sector was keen to witness which would emerge as the greater triumph. Seasoned industry professional and commentator, Donoughue, readily offered his forecast, asserting his belief that the “Betty Power” merger (as he humorously dubbed it) held the advantage due to a more organic cultural alignment. He also highlighted Breon Corcoran’s return to his former domain as an encouraging indicator.

The way it succeeds on a product tier is that Betfair caters to a more sophisticated wagering demographic, while Paddy Power targets a more relaxed clientele, resulting in a complementary rather than duplicative relationship.”

What’s fueling these amalgamations? As per gaming sector advisor, Etain Short, they’re not unforeseen considering the present condition of the physical betting arena. “Apart from Betfair, the remaining entities possess retail wagering establishments, and these have witnessed a substantial decrease in income from Fixed Odds Betting Terminals, rendering the tangible assets more of a liability,” she elaborates. “Furthermore, the UK marketplace, both digital and traditional, is heavily saturated, leading to heightened and costlier promotional rivalry.”

With four entities reduced to two, will we observe additional unification in the field? “Anticipation for further consolidation has been widespread, potentially following the point of consumption, so its occurrence wouldn’t be entirely shocking,” opines Ladbrokes McCabe.

Short appends: “Numerous autonomous bookmakers persist in the UK market. Nevertheless, the online sphere is overflowing, the possibility of heightened regulation looms, and the effect of FOBTs on physical outlets is considerable. Witnessing one or two of the prominent brands combine to propel further consolidation wouldn’t be astonishing.”

The United Kingdom’s betting landscape appears poised for significant transformation. Should sector experts such as Short prove accurate, the coming period might witness substantial consolidation among key participants, with mergers or acquisitions looming large. Speculation is rife regarding whether the recent Ladbrokes Coral and Paddy Power Betfair agreement represents merely the initial indication of a much broader trend.

Author of the posts

By Connor "Colt" Hughes

Holding a Master's degree in Statistics and a Bachelor's in Philosophy, this versatile author has a deep appreciation for the epistemological and ethical dimensions of probability and decision-making under uncertainty. They have expertise in Bayesian inference, moral philosophy, and risk analysis, which they apply to the study of the philosophical foundations of gambling and the ethical implications of casino operations. Their articles and news pieces provide readers with a philosophical perspective on the casino industry and the strategies used to promote rational decision-making and ethical gambling practices.

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